2024 Election Forecasts

Our final 2024 election predictions are below. We forecast Kamala Harris to defeat Donald Trump with 287 electoral votes to 251 electoral votes.

For US Senate, we're forecasting Republicans to win a majority of 52 seats to 48 Democrats.

And for the governor races, we're forecasting 26 Republicans and 24 Democrats, with only 11 races up for grabs this cycle.

For more information on our predicted margin of victory in states, see our detailed forecast maps.